http://www.GuluFuture.com/superworm.htm
Superworm To Storm The Net On 9/11
Time to defend free speech & the Net
 
1st September, 2003
by Fintan Dunne,
Editor, GuluFuture.com


      Superworm
    Articles
Our analysis of Internet virus activity, shows that on September 11th next, an advanced worm attack is set to infiltrate the Internet and could potentially halt email traffic worldwide. We need to act now.
1 






 
  Superworm to Storm the Net

  Kiss The Net Goodbye
  Sneak Trojan Maps Net
  Ultimate Worm Wishlist
  Latest News & Analysis
     
The worm invasion will feature distributed denial-of-service (DDoS) attacks against Microsoft's website and those of anti-virus software vendors or spam prevention websites. This will hinder distribution of removal tools and prevent detection of worm spam.

The SuperWorm would combine the capabilities of recent worms/viruses. This hi-tech worm could lever itself into becoming a "WormNet" inside the existing Internet, with worms on individual infected computers sending encrypted communications to each other. Worms could exchange latest worm-code updates and get lists of new attack targets. These features would even enable them to morph into new worm generations.

Once established, the SuperWorm would be a permanent presence on the Internet. It could be scaled up and down in intensity or retargeted by its human controller(s). It could also be used to untracably broadcast to the world audience on the Internet.

THE BIG ONE

The FBI just spent two weeks catching the incredibly inept teenage author of a Blaster worm variant. Meanwhile the much more dangerous threat comes from the creator(s) of the Sobig worm.

Is it just a coincidence that the Sobig.F variant expires on the 10th of September? Meaning the next release is due on September 11th.

"The MO of the author is to release a new version just before the expiry of the last one," said Mark Summer, at security firm MessageLabs.

Curiously, the Sobig author(s) recently took a break. The last SoBig.F version followed on from A, B, C, D and E. Each bigger and better than the last. But there was an untypical gap of a full month between E and F.

"We think he may have taken a vacation or something," said one reportedly exasperated FBI source.

Perhaps not. Maybe Sobig.F was delayed a month so that the imminent Sobig.G release would fall on the 11th September target date.

Therefore the 9/11 Sobig release date is a clear warning of a catastrophic attack on 9-11-'03. The author(s) are hinting of a calamity.

Do they have the capability to seriously disrupt the Internet. You bet. These are no 'script-kiddies.' They are professional. Security experts agree:

"This is the undisputed heavyweight champion of viruses," according to Scott Petry of email-security firm Postini in Redwood City, California.

"It is very well planned, very well designed and very well executed," said Mikko Hypponen, director of antivirus research for F-Secure of
Finland.

Let's go further than that. Let's say that Sobig.F was so slick that the author(s) were toying with us as they road tested their 9/11 worm release.

ULTIMATE WORMWARE

With inbuilt encryption and email, coupled to sophisticated delivery, defense and updating capabilities, Sobig.F was advanced wormware.

Security analysts think it got a power-assisted launch on the Internet by an initial mass-mailing to a spammer's list of email addresses. That spam launch may have come from hijacked open-relays on already compromised computers.

Even as Sobig spread, the Blaster worm had already spawned an army of worms which has easily taken Microsoft's Windowsupdate.com website off-line. Try the link. It's still off-line, and not expected to return. The next Sobig variant could adopt this Blaster tactic and have a list of targets designed to hinder user access to the patches needed to fix infections.

Sobig.F was programmed to seek an update of it's code from about 20 compromised computers on the Net. By decrypting the Sobig.F code, a list of these sites was discovered and they were shut down. Only just in time too.

However, only one update site had content. And that merely redirected to a sex site. In truth, the author(s) likely never intended to place new code on the 20 update sites anyway. The technique looks like a test or even a decoy. But the intent to make updates possible is worrying. Suppose we could not stop the update.

If the upcoming Sobig.G enables the worms themselves to exchange new updates and avoids naming update sites explicitly in the virus code, we are powerless to stop the updates. Instead of taking directions from named update servers, the worms could sniff each other out on the net to swap latest code.

WORMNET WRIGGLE

This "WormNet" concept has been discussed in a prior theoretical wishlist, detailing the architecture of a possible superworm. Sobig is definitely slick enough to implement this ultimate wormware.

Once the Internet gets infected with "WormNet," the worm updates could be automatically distributed to all worms faster than the anti-virus vendors could persuade humans to get patches. Especially if their websites are under denial of service attacks.

Secreted on hundreds of thousands of computers, WormNet would become an intractably persistent presence --piggybacking on existing Internet communications protocols.

We would be unable to break into the "WormNet" distribution system, because worm messages would be encrypted and signed with unique codes. Each message would have to be individually cracked.

Finally, imagine a "WormNet" which was exchanging Blaster-type virus code that enabled it to spread without users having to open infected emails, but by tapping open-port vulnerabilities on Internet connections. Doesn't bear thinking about.

WORM INTELLIGENCE

The worms would need a map of vulnerable ports on the Internet. As it happens, stealth activity has been crisscrossing the Internet for the last few months, which indicates that someone may be preparing just such a map.

In June, 2003 security researchers at Intrusec said say a sneaky Trojan application called 55808, has installed itself on an unknown number of Internet-connected servers and is scanning and mapping the Internet. The traffic consists of data packets with a window size of 55,808 bytes.

Another firm, Lancope, said the Trojan probes were at a rate that would lead to 63% of the IP addresses on the Internet being probed every 17 hours.

The Trojan is a distributed port scanner which is very difficult to detect. It communicates by sending out information to random addresses hoping that another computer infected with the program is listening. This way the communications are untraceable.

"Though there isn't a direct communication channel, all of these Trojan agents, or zombies, are working together," said Dan Ingevaldson, team leader for Internet Security Systems. "Someone is trying to map Internet-connected networks."

JOINING THE DOTS

In Sobig, Blaster and 55808, we are seeing Internet attack components which individually are a nuisance. Even if these are entirely unrelated attacks, their proven success immediately adds these tactics to the pool of malware.

If the inept FBI suspect managed to cobble together two tactics in his Blaster variant, the slicker operators elsewhere can readily deploy a SuperWorm which brings these components together and would be unstoppable with our current defenses. Such a worm is now clearly possible, and eventually inevitable.

Sobig.F has been blamed on spammers trying to hijack open relays and use them as spam mail servers. If so, why would these profit-focussed spammers set a 9/11 release date with ominous political/terror overtones? Not good business.

Some person(s) went to a lot of trouble to launch Sobig.F and they have indicated it was the penultimate virus. To be followed by the ultimate. Despite the clear intent on display, our response has been meager.

So-called "market forces" are not solving the Internet security problem. They are ensuring it remains a problem. Antivirus vendors are content to play the attack/defend cycle forever --and they do serve a purpose. But their presence in the market lends Microsoft a plausible deniability of final responsibility.

DEFENDING THE NET

The virus/worm issue just got critical. Are we going to sit around and wait for the inevitable on 9/11/'03 or not long after? Or are we going to take bold steps to protect the Internet before it's too late.

Perhaps it's time for the the IT industry, the anti-virus vendors and Microsoft to come together and raise the level of voluntary inoculation by users.

Or maybe it's time to release our own Defender.A worm which could invasively close down the relevant "holes" in Internet security. A defensive worm could use standard intrusion tactics for benign result. For example, it could worm it's way into Windows XP computers and get the owner's permission to turn their firewalls on. It could survey open TCP/IP ports and offer to close them.

Such a defensive worm, armed with full ISP and backbone support, could lock down 95% of existing Internet vulnerabilities in 48 hours.

The ongoing failure to address Internet security issues is set to cost us dearly. Is there really the political will to safeguard the greatest free speech medium developed by humanity? If there is not, then it is up to the Internet community to protect it ourselves.

1st September, 2003
Feedback, Tips, etc.
to Fintan Dunne,
Editor, GuluFuture.com

   
The Superworm Articles

  Superworm to Storm the Net
  Kiss The Net Goodbye
  Sneak Trojan Maps Net
  Ultimate Worm Wishlist
  Latest News & Analysis



Mysterious Net traffic

Mysterious Net traffic spurs code hunt
CNET News, June 20, 2003

ELF_TYPOT.A
Worm? Trojan? Attack tool? Network administrators and security experts continue to search for the cause of an increasing amount of odd data that has been detected on the Internet.
News.com

The threat throws off lots of noise
and seems to be mapping the Internet
.
By George V. Hulme
  
There's a new security threat out on the Internet, but it's not clear how much of a threat it really is. A sneaky new Trojan application that has installed itself on an unknown number of Internet-connected servers and is attempting to scan and map networks connected to the Internet and send that information back to its controller.
http://www.intrusec.com/55808.html


 PROTOTYPING  THE
 ULTIMATE  VIRUS / WORM

http://slashdot.org/
Over year ago, with couple of friends, we started writing a project, called 'Samhain' . We wanted to see if it's difficult to write deadly harmful Internet worm, probably much more dangerous than Morris's worm.
...READ MORE



 

   Interviews
   
with author Fintan Dunne

     Archive: Tue 1st Sept.

     T O N I G H T    W E D
     

    Wed 3rd @ 9pmEST
      with Alex Merklinger

   Reference Links


  
The SoBig.F virus is programmed to deactivate on September 10, so that a new version can appear sometime around September 11.



"The MO of the author is to relase a new version just before the expiry of the last one," said Mark Summer, chief technology officer at security firm MessageLabs.

"A potential risk is that the massive army created by Sobig.F could be used to launch an all out attack on large Internet infrastructures," said Steven Sundermeier at security firm, Central Command. ArabTimesOnline


Worse Windows worms
to come, warn experts



SPAM BLOCKERS HIT
BY DENIAL OF SERVICE
Sobig May Be
Working for Spammers

Sobig worm appears to lead sustained attacks on computers running antispam 'blocklists.'

The target sites have been intermittently inaccessible. According to reports posted in online discussion forums, Osirusoft has shut down permanently.

....
MORE LATEST NEWS


 MICROSOFT
 ON GUARD


Microsoft made drastic changes in their internet setup on Friday. First of all, they moved most of their main web servers under heavy web clusters operated by the mirroring company Akamai.

As to windowsupdate.com, they just surrendered. Microsoft simply disconnected this server from the web and removed it's name from domain name systems. It will probably never return.


.... MORE LATEST NEWS


 SOBIG WORM
 IS SO SLICK

Mr Vincent Weafer, the senior director of Symantec's Security Response centre, said the culprit behind the virus wanted to 'build up a (robot) net by creating zombie machines he can control'. straitstimes.com

In a single day, 1 in every 17 mails sent worldwide came from Sobig.F. Experts were shocked and awed by the worm's unprecedented clip.

"This is the undisputed heavyweight champion of viruses," declared Scott Petry of email-security firm Postini in Redwood City, Calif. Which may be just the kind of recognition Sobig.F's still mysterious author was hoping for. time.com

"Whoever wrote this virus has knowledge of how AV systems operate and has written the code with obfuscation in mind.

Thus far, MessageLabs has blocked "in excess of three million copies" of Sobig, an "unheard of figure", Wood said.
TheRegister.co.uk

Profile of the Superworm:
SoBig.E Exposed

He also may have had a holiday recently. The 'F' at the end of SoBig denotes that it is the sixth generation of the virus to be put into cyberspace, following on from A, B, C, D and E. Each one has been bigger and faster than the last. Yet there was a gap of four weeks between E and F. 'We think he may have taken a vacation or something,' said one exasperated FBI source. Observer.guardian.co.uk


Government and industry security experts raced against the clock Friday to take offline 19 of the 20 home computers, thwarting an attack before the 12 noon deadline, said Mikko Hypponen, anti-virus research manager at F-Secure of Finland.

The computers were located in the United States, Canada and South Korea, he said. The remaining master computer, which was in the United States, was taken down shortly after the deadline, experts said. cnn.com


http://sfgate.com
Originally, SoBig appeared to be nothing more than an unusually effective version of a common online bug: the mass mailer, which annoys people by flooding e-mail boxes worldwide with copies of itself, but which does no real damage to hardware. Now that the SoBig worm turns out to be more complex, some experts believe its creator is much more sophisticated than the youths who release garden-variety worms on a daily basis.

"Looks like organized crime to me," said Mikko Hypponen, F-Secure's director of antivirus research, in a prepared release.


http://lists.netsys.com
After reviewing the actual firewall logs I find my initial report was not entirely correct. There were two variants, not three, and the second variant contacted a list of 5 hosts, none of which were on the "big" list of 20 hosts.

The second list of five addresses (all seem to be on cable or dsl networks) is given below.

This page shows status of those ips:
http://207.195.54.37/sobig.html


 SOBIG ON
 SLASHDOT


MAIN SLASHDOT THREAD


 THE SOBIG
 UPDATER


http://www.f-secure.com/
The expected Internet activation of the Sobig.F worm has been prevented. The activation was prevented through a 24-hour race against the clock by various organizations around the world. FBI and Microsoft were able to locate and disconnect or shut down most of the master servers necessary for the activation to be successful.


techrepublic.com
F-Secure reports its analysis of the code provides some server addresses that don't lead to anything right now, and speculates that the server addresses will be forwarded to some other address just seconds before the Trojan activates in order to prevent antivirus analysts from reading the program and working out countermeasures in advance.

F-Secure is also providing some additional details, such as the fact that SoBigF appears to have infected nearly 100 million systems in just over four days. For now, it isn't known whether the Trojan will try to co-opt other systems already compromised by SoBig.F or will launch some entirely different sort of attack.

...This is a highly sophisticated attack, even using atomic clocks to synchronize the activation of the Trojan...

http://www.f-secure.com
All the infected computers are entering a second phase today, on Friday the 22nd of August, 2003. These computers are using atom clocks to synchronize the activation to start exactly at the same time around the world: at 19:00:00 UTC.

On this moment, the worm starts to connect to machines found from an encrypted list hidden in the virus body.

The worm connects to one of these 20 servers and authenticates itself with a secret 8-byte code. The servers respond with a web address. Infected machines download a program from this address – and run it. At this moment it is completely unknown what this mystery program will do.

F-Secure has been able to break into this system and crack the encryption, but currently the web address sent by the servers doesn’t go anywhere. “The developers of the virus know that we could download the program beforehand, analyse it and come up with countermeasures”, says Hypponen. “So apparently their plan is to change the web address to point to the correct address or addresses just seconds before the deadline. By the time we get a copy of the file, the infected computers have already downloaded and run it”.

With Sobig.E, the worm downloaded a program which removed the virus itself (to hide its tracks), and then started to steal users network and web passwords. After this the worm installed a hidden email proxy, which has been used by various spammers to send their bulk commercial emails through these machines without the owners of the computers knowing anything about it.

The advanced techniques used by the worm make it quite obvious it’s not written by a typical teenage virus writer. The fact that previous Sobig variants we’re used by spammers on a large scale adds an element of financial gain. Who’s behind all this? “Looks like organized crime to me”, comments Mikko Hypponen.


http://slashdot.org/
My thoughts about possible "improvements", from my yesterdays post [slashdot.org]:

Too bad for the virus that it depended on this list of servers to update. However, there are reports that it also contains a backdoor enabling updating it. Here is my worst case scenario what could happen further:

1. The authors of worm quickly release new worm, which uses same methods to propagate and which main purpose would be to scan IP's for already infected computers and update them to new version.

2. New versions of worm contain a strong encryption key to recognize next updates. They also contain a block of "secret", encrypted payload code, key to which is contained in update. This way this block can be instantly run right after getting key in update, without waiting to download whole update, speeding things up.

3. New versions do not depend on fixed port numbers for communications, which can be easily blocked in routers. Instead they listen on number of random ports and/or intercept commonly used ports which cannot well be blocked globally.

4. IP of previous computer in infection chain is kept by infected computer, also it actively scans ports for other infected hosts and keeps a list of found IP's. This list is also encrypted, with key coming in next update. When next update comes, list is decrypted and update quickly forwarder to all computers in it with previous version. This distributed network is similar to current p2p networks and makes global updates very, very fast and impossible to track beforehand.

5. New versions will continue to use email scams and windows security holes to continue spreading.

So now we have global network of infected computers that can be quickly updated by its controllers to stay ahead of any countermeasures that security people may think of, all continuing to spread and containing a secret payload which could be triggered even faster than update.

     

 


 



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